Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Is Climate Change on a Passage North, or West?


The Arctic Ocean is cold. At the northernmost tip of our planet, the Arctic Ocean covers nearly 5,427,000 square miles- most of which is compacted into glaciers, permafrost and sea ice. Many of us will live our entire lives without ever feasting our eyes on this vast expanse of ice and water, but these frigid waters affects each and every one of us daily. For some, it touches our lives through ocean currents, bringing fish and nutrient-rich water to our beaches. For all, we are affected through the Northwest Passage. This Passage is a sea route which traverses the northernmost coast of North America. It is not surprising that the Northwest Passage is enclosed in ice –obstructing what would be the shortest natural route from the Atlantic Ocean to the Pacific Ocean in the entire world. Since the time overseas trade had begun, traders longed for the Northwest Passage to open; this would not only make sea trade faster and cheaper, but ultimately safer and more feasible. 
The Northwest Passage.
From  www1.american.edu
Here’s a fact that would delight those forlorn Arctic seafarers: the Northwest Passage might open up sooner than you think.
 
The opening of the Northwest Passage is only achievable through one pathway, a pathway that has been gradually built since the dawn of the industrial age (with a significant pick-up in the 1980’s). You probably know it by name, and that name is ‘climate change’. Climate change is nothing new, but is an event that has had a special place on everyone’s lips in recent years. The term has been thrown around with images of polar bears, fossil fuels and natural disasters… eventually earning itself a negative connotation. Still, many people are left wondering how climate change (the slow-moving, invisible phenomenon that it is) affects their lives. Why should they concern themselves with climate change, when the economy and health reform have tangible and more immediate consequences? Why is climate change so often spoken of as a ‘bad thing,’ when it can make the Northwest Passage accessible for trade- something that our economy so direly needs?
 
When you see how the warming of our earth began and begin to fully grasp the science behind it, climate change takes on an entire new identity. To see the larger picture of climate change, it is important to look at its building blocks. John Hansen, head of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and known for his research in the field of climatology, explains the relationship between heat and carbon dioxide like this: the more carbon dioxide there is in the air, the warmer the air is. Carbon dioxide and other gasses in the air act as Earth’s blanket, keeping heat from the sun trapped in our atmosphere. In proper amounts, this ‘greenhouse effect’ is what keeps Earth from being like the Northwest Passage and freezing over, but those very same gasses are also what enable Venus to maintain a global 900 degree temperature. You may have already noticed the effects of Earth’s warmer atmosphere, which is characterized by warm winters and melting glaciers. In fact, due to this warmth, John Hansen projects that the ocean will rise 1-5 meters within the century. 
Image from John Hansen, www.ted.com















Earth goes through many ice ages and warming periods, but the earth has been warming at an alarming rate since the 1800’s.  Hansen explains “…the total energy imbalance {increase in heat} is 6/10ths of a watt per square meter. That may not sound like much, but when added up over the whole world, it’s enormous. It’s about twenty times greater than the rate of use of energy by all of humanity. It’s equivalent to exploding 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day, 365 days a year. That’s how much extra energy earth is gaining each day.” Even more shocking is the cause of the extra green house gases in our atmosphere: ourselves. The advancement of our American society has increased the use of fossil fuels, which propels carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases right into the air we breathe. 
 
Hansen can list off a number of reasons climate change should worry us- ranging from droughts, heat waves, stronger storms (think Hurrican Katrina and Hurricane Sandy), and the opening of the Northwest Passage. However, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change focuses on one aspect of climate change, the aspect that may be the most instrumental in making Earth a hospitable place to live. 
 
The IPCC writes that climate change, above all else, strongly impacts earth’s biodiversity (that is, the diversity and variety of plant and animal life on our planet). For example, the Mojave Desert in California is able to support very few trees and animal species, making it an area with extremely low biodiversity. With the increase in our climate’s temperature we can expect many animal habitats to be lost to the creation of deserts as well as a rising sea level. The IPCC states that “…by the year 2080, about 20% of coastal wetlands could be lost due to sea-level rise.” The fact that coastal wetlands, one of the most biologically diverse ecosystems in the entire world, will be lost is disheartening but these coasts are also home to countless cities and people. An increase in sea level would mean the destruction of these homes and the displacement of thousands of humans. 
The Mojave Desert in California, US.
Photo from www.mojavedesertblog.com
“Ecosystems {biodiversity} provide many goods and services that are crucial to human survival,” explains the IPCC. “Some indigenous and rural communities are particularly dependant on many of these goods and services for their livelihoods. These goods and services include food, fiber, fuel and energy, fodder, medicines… Ecosystems {biodiversity} also play a critical role in biogeochemical processes that underlie the functioning of Earth’s systems.” 
 
The spread of industry and loss of natural areas have always been closely connected, but now they affect each other in a different way. Rather than society (through the use wood and land) rendering the land fit for only human use and splitting (what were once uniform) ecosystems, the use of fossil fuels in our society increases carbon dioxide in the air. This facilitates climate change, which then makes regions unfit for animals and plants to inhabit.  Those animals and plants with limited ranges, restricted habitats and small populations are most at risk of extinction. Since climate change, as well as the subsequent loss of biodiversity, can be attributed to the human use of fossil fuels, there must be a way to slow the effects- at least give the earth’s ecosystems and human cities time to adapt.

John Hansen observes that placing a fee on all fossil fuels could, if put into practice, result in a depletion of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere due to the subsequently elevated search for alternative fuels. The fee that Hansen proposes is a proactive and preventative procedure that would likely slow (or halt) the use of fossil fuels. The IPCC focuses more on conserving the ecosystems the Earth has left through mitigation practices. Mitigation would mean changes in land-use and forestry activities (including reforestation, or the planting of forests) while adapting human activities to benefit the environment- this means facilitating the growth of new plants and animals and helping them adapt to our changing world. Of course the mitigated ecosystems would not be as biodiverse as the ecosystem that existed before, but it gives nature a place to start recovering. It is difficult to judge the success of these practices or see any immediate results because the affects of climate change are so diverse and long-term, but the preservation of our Earth’s atmosphere and ecosystems are important. It means the health and safety  for humans, while ensuring we can continue the lifestyle that we have grown accustomed to. 
Reforestation of a coal mine, www.mcrcc.osmre.gov


New York and Chicago are two cities which have notice of the Earth’s need, and made changes in an effort to prevent any further damage to the atmosphere, biodiversity, or their resident’s livelihood. New York has used the desolate rooftops of its city to house solar energy panels, which can then power it’s buildings instead of fossil fuels. Chicago has also taken advantage of its interminably available rooftops, creating rooftop gardens. Not only does this help dissipate the heat island effect, but this can (according to the IPCC) help with the natural absorption of carbon dioxide in the air. Further than that, they have implemented new energy audits and efficiency standards to reduce the consumption of energy and fossil fuels. "You can't actually climate-proof a city," Adam Freed, acting director of the city's Office of Long-Term Planning and Sustainability, says "the benefits of the things that make sense to do today greatly increase as our climate changes."

The economy is important. Your current employment is important. Your relationships with others are important.  What you’re making for dinner tonight is important. The Northwest Passage is extremely important, for what it means trade-wise. But for a moment I want you to put that all out of your head and imagine a world that is desolate, with enough carbon dioxide in the air that Earth maintains a 900 degree, Venus-like temperature. It may be centuries away, but when that day comes, our first-world woes might seem like temporary distractions from what really plagues us.
 
Works Cited
 

Biello, David. “The Green Apple: How Can Cities Adapt to Climate Change?” Scientific American. 16 June, 2010. Web. 4 February 2013. 

“James Hansen: Why I Must Speak Out About Climate Change” Ted. Ted Conferences LLC, February 2012. Web Video. 4 February 2013.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. "Climate Change and Biodiversity" United Nations Convention, IPCC Secretariat. April 2002. Web. 4 February 2013.


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